Bitcoin has often performed well in October, and many analysts are once again expecting the leading cryptocurrency to benefit from this seasonal trend.
Historical trends indicate that October has consistently delivered some of Bitcoin’s strongest gains, with average returns of approximately 20% since 2013. This has led traders to call the month “Uptober,” a nickname that reflects the positive momentum often seen after a difficult September.
Bitcoin’s Historical Edge In October
This year, the same pattern may be playing out. Bitcoin has already broken above $116,000 earlier today, showing renewed strength after weeks of sideways trends.
Meanwhile, this month also has an edge. Recent analysis shows that Bitcoin has rallied by double-digits in October when it closed green in September. Bitcoin’s 5.16% rally last month and the bullish start to the month are already raising bullish sentiments around the crypto community.
Moreover, market watchers have highlighted several factors that could fuel further gains. The weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing fiscal uncertainty have prompted many investors to turn to alternative assets, such as Bitcoin.
Furthermore, institutions also tend to re-enter the market in the final quarter of the year, adding liquidity and confidence. On top of that, speculation about potential shifts in monetary policy, including discussions of interest rate cuts, has fueled optimism across financial markets.
As such, the combination of historical performance and macroeconomic conditions makes October a month to watch closely for Bitcoin.
XRP Could Follow a Similar Price Trajectory
Meanwhile, XRP, the native token of the XRP Ledger, has a more complicated October track record. Historical analysis shows that while Bitcoin has consistently benefited from the season, XRP’s performance has been mixed, with strong rallies in some years and significant losses in others.
Despite that uneven history, optimism remains high that XRP could rally extensively this time around. One factor fueling this belief is the potential approval of US XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Asset managers like Grayscale, 21Shares, Canart Capital, and Franklin Templeton are awaiting a regulatory decision from the US SEC. With recent progress made, market watchers are optimistic that the investment products will launch this month.
If approved, analysts project that the funds could attract institutional investors and boost demand. XRP also recorded its largest quarterly close in history last month, further fueling optimism.
#XRP recorded its highest quarterly close in history with its close at $2.848.
How high can $XRP go in #Uptober? pic.twitter.com/scQ3MkEpRM
— CoinRemark (@CoinRemark) October 1, 2025
Notably, broader crypto sentiment could also lift XRP, particularly if Bitcoin maintains its October rally and drags the market higher. Still, XRP’s disappointing past October raises cautionary signs. Nonetheless, many believe this month is different following recent regulatory clarity.
October has historically favored Bitcoin, and early signs point toward a strong start once again in 2025. XRP has also started strongly, rallying close to the $3 price mark. If analyses prove true, both assets could post staggering gains in the coming days.
Evans Kelvin
