Bitcoin to $10K or $1M? Expert Explains Why BTC Price Is “Massively Mispriced”

A popular Bitcoin pundit argues BTC is “massively mispriced,” pointing to shrinking premiums and mounting macroeconomic pressures weighing on sentiment.
Senior Editor
Bitcoin
Bitcoin

Key Points

Bitcoin continues to face heavy downward pressure, as its price hover around the $84,000 territory.
The Simply Bitcoin host argues that BTC is significantly mispriced, pointing to forced liquidations, market distortions, and broader macroeconomic pressures as key factors.
Long-term forecasts range from $10,000 to an ambitious target of $1 million.

Bitcoin is drawing renewed attention from analysts as global markets decline and fresh commentary suggests the asset’s current value may not reflect broader structural pressures in traditional finance.  

It is currently trading at $84,100, pressured by steep losses across both equities and bond markets. Its daily trading volume stands at roughly $98 billion. Broader market sentiment remains fragile amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, persistent inflation concerns, and tightening global liquidity conditions.

These combined factors have pushed traders to reconsider how Bitcoin fits into the broader market cycle and whether current pricing reflects underlying fundamentals.

Bitcoin Is “Massively Mispriced” 

In a recent commentary, Simply Bitcoin host Nico Moran argued that Bitcoin’s current price action fails to reflect the mounting stress within traditional financial systems. He pointed out that major stock indices and bond markets continue to slide, highlighting persistent pressure on legacy markets. Moran also referenced financial writer Michael Lewis, who has long warned that the stock market is structured in ways that disadvantage everyday investors.

According to Moran, the recent downturn in crypto is being driven primarily by forced liquidations and automated trading dynamics—not by any fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. He attributes these short-term declines to broader market mechanics, including high-frequency trading and complex liquidity structures that have amplified volatility across asset classes. 

$10K or $1M?

His explanation positions Bitcoin between two widely cited long-term scenarios: a potential decline toward $10,000 driven by macroeconomic pressure, or an eventual climb toward $1 million, fueled by institutional demand, ETF inflows, and Bitcoin’s fixed supply. He views current levels as below the value suggested by these structural forces.

From the current price of $84,100, Bitcoin would need to spike 1,089% to reach the $1 million target. However, if it plunges by 88.10%, it could fall to the $10,000 region.

Bitcoin Faces a Critical Inflection as Premium Drops

Bitcoin is trading around the $84K area as the market takes in one of the highest corrective runs of the quarter. Fresh data shows the Coinbase Bitcoin premium has fallen to its lowest level since Q4, signaling a decline in spot demand from U.S.-based buyers.

The shift reflects a weaker appetite across institutional channels, with some large players reducing exposure during the current volatility.

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